Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chesterfield FC v Barnet

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Score final : Chesterfield FC 3–3 Barnet

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Prévision 44.45%2.25cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.97%44.34%44.36%45.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.40%47.62%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Barnet (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.67%3.37cote équitable
EV -3.56%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.67%29.72%29.72%31.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.063.103.2535.09%32.69%32.26%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.88%3.86cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.438%
Kelly -0.595%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.53%25.94%25.92%27.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.503.503.8031.25%28.59%28.57%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chesterfield FC (Local) : 44.45% ; Barnet (Visiteur) : 29.67% ; Match nul : 25.88%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.86. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.80, pour une espérance de -1.66% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -14.54%E -5.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.19%EV -3.10%E -1.42%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -14.54%E -5.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-30 18:50
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -2.96%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 05:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 11:35
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -15.43%E -5.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -17.19%E -5.37%K -7.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -15.43%E -5.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -17.19%E -5.37%K -7.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 18:50
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.52%EV -5.32%E -2.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.20%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -2.96%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:15
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 29.96%EV -7.72%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 07:44
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.96%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 00:24
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.55%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:00
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.96%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 08:00
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 06:24
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 06:20
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.53%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 00:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.53%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 00:24
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -1.66%E -0.438%K -0.595%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:00
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 14:14
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 00:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 00:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.35%EV -7.10%E -3.40%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 07:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.56%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 00:20
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 00:40
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 08:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 12:35
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 15:00
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 14:59
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.53%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 07:44
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 00:24
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 21:30
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 21:30
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 08:31
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 08:35
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.02%E -3.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 02:04
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 00:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.79%EV -9.77%E -4.81%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -6.53%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 00:24
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.10%E -5.55%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-01 20:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.85%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.67%-0.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75%2.4%2026-09-04 14:35