Idioma:Español
Chesterfield FC v Barnet
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chesterfield FC (Local)
Predicción 44.45%2.25momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.97%44.34%44.36%45.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.40%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Barnet (Visitante)
Predicción 29.67%3.37momio equitativo
EV -3.56%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.67%29.72%29.72%31.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.853.063.103.2535.09%32.69%32.26%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.88%3.86momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.438%
Kelly -0.595%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.53%25.94%25.92%27.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.503.503.8031.25%28.59%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chesterfield FC (Local): 44.45%; Barnet (Visitante): 29.67%; Empate: 25.88%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.86. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.80, con un valor esperado de -1.66%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -14.54%E -5.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.19%EV -3.10%E -1.42%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -14.54%E -5.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -2.96%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 05:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -15.43%E -5.41%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -17.19%E -5.37%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -15.43%E -5.41%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -17.19%E -5.37%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.52%EV -5.32%E -2.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.20%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -2.96%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 29.96%EV -7.72%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 07:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.96%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 00:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.55%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.96%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 06:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.53%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.53%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 00:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -1.66%E -0.438%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-02 00:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-02 00:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.35%EV -7.10%E -3.40%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.56%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 00:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.53%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 07:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 00:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 08:31 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.02%E -3.53%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-04 02:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 00:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.79%EV -9.77%E -4.81%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -6.53%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 00:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.10%E -5.55%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-01 20:38 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.85% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.67% | -0.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.20% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |