Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chesterfield FC v Barnet

Início: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Final: Chesterfield FC 3–3 Barnet

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Previsão 44.45%2.25odd justa
EV -2.21%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -1.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.97%44.34%44.36%45.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.40%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Barnet (Visitante)

Previsão 29.67%3.37odd justa
EV -3.56%
Vantagem -1.10%
Kelly -1.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.67%29.72%29.72%31.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.063.103.2535.09%32.69%32.26%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.88%3.86odd justa
EV -1.66%
Vantagem -0.438%
Kelly -0.595%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.53%25.94%25.92%27.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.503.503.8031.25%28.59%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chesterfield FC (Local): 44.45%; Barnet (Visitante): 29.67%; Empate: 25.88%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.86. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.80, com valor esperado de -1.66%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -14.54%E -5.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.19%EV -3.10%E -1.42%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -14.54%E -5.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-30 18:50
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -2.96%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 05:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 11:35
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -15.43%E -5.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -17.19%E -5.37%K -7.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -15.43%E -5.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -17.19%E -5.37%K -7.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 18:50
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.52%EV -5.32%E -2.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.20%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -2.96%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:15
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 29.96%EV -7.72%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 07:44
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.96%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 00:24
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.55%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:00
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.96%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 08:00
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 06:24
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 06:20
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.53%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 00:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.53%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 00:24
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -1.66%E -0.438%K -0.595%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:00
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 14:14
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 00:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 00:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.35%EV -7.10%E -3.40%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 07:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.56%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 00:20
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 00:40
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 08:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 12:35
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 15:00
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 14:59
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.53%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 07:44
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 00:24
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 21:30
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 21:30
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 08:31
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 08:35
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.02%E -3.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 02:04
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 00:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.79%EV -9.77%E -4.81%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -6.53%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 00:24
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.10%E -5.55%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-01 20:38
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.85%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.67%-0.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75%2.4%2026-09-04 14:35