Language:English
Cheltenham Town v Salford City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cheltenham Town (Local)
Prediction 22.47%4.45fair odd
EV -0.682%
Edge -0.154%
Kelly -0.199%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.34%22.46%22.53%23.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.154.204.4226.32%24.08%23.81%22.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Salford City (Visit)
Prediction 51.74%1.93fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -3.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.33%51.81%51.70%53.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.761.8758.82%56.52%56.82%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.79%3.88fair odd
EV +0.574%
Edge +0.147%
Kelly +0.198%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.26%25.72%25.77%26.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.633.603.9028.99%27.58%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cheltenham Town (Local): 22.47%; Salford City (Visit): 51.74%; Draw: 25.79%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.574%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.53%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.91%EV -6.35%E -3.51%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.574%E +0.147%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.53%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.91%EV -6.35%E -3.51%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.574%E +0.147%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.60%EV -7.20%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.03%EV -8.93%E -5.08%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.37%EV -1.23%E -0.322%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.00%E -0.528%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -2.00%E -0.528%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.53%EV -0.682%E -0.154%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.16%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.31%EV -3.04%E -0.808%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.12%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.29%E -0.879%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -12.04%E -7.08%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -12.04%E -7.08%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -6.75%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -6.65%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 14:53 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -8.93%E -5.08%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -8.93%E -5.08%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -14.61%E -3.85%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-21 09:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -11.24%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -8.42%E -4.76%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.42%E -4.76%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -3.38%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.03%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.68% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.76% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.77% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 1.3% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35% | 2.5% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |