La escuela de los momios

Cheltenham Town v Salford City

Inicio: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cheltenham Town (Local)

Predicción 22.47%4.45momio equitativo
EV -0.682%
Ventaja -0.154%
Kelly -0.199%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.34%22.46%22.53%23.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.154.204.4226.32%24.08%23.81%22.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Salford City (Visitante)

Predicción 51.74%1.93momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -3.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.33%51.81%51.70%53.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.761.8758.82%56.52%56.82%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.79%3.88momio equitativo
EV +0.574%
Ventaja +0.147%
Kelly +0.198%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.26%25.72%25.77%26.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.633.603.9028.99%27.58%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.53%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.91%EV -6.35%E -3.51%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.574%E +0.147%K +0.198%G +0.001%4.4%2026-02-21 14:45
LowVig.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.53%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.91%EV -6.35%E -3.51%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.574%E +0.147%K +0.198%G +0.001%4.4%2026-02-21 14:45
1xBet4.13I 24.21%NM 22.60%EV -7.20%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.03%EV -8.93%E -5.08%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.37%EV -1.23%E -0.322%K -0.435%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:50
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.00%E -0.528%K -0.716%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 14:45
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -2.00%E -0.528%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:45
Pinnacle4.42I 22.62%NM 21.53%EV -0.682%E -0.154%K -0.199%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.16%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.31%EV -3.04%E -0.808%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 14:50
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.12%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.29%E -0.879%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:45
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
LeoVegas4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -12.04%E -7.08%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-20 05:50
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -12.04%E -7.08%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-20 05:50
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -6.75%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -6.65%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 14:53
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:45
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -8.93%E -5.08%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:55
BetUS4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -8.93%E -5.08%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:50
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:40
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -14.61%E -3.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 09:44
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -11.24%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -8.42%E -4.76%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:50
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:40
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:40
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:35
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:35
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.42%E -4.76%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:40
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -3.38%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:54
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:40
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:45
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.03%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.68%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.77%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%1.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%2.5%2026-02-21 14:50