مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cheltenham Town v Salford City

البداية: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cheltenham Town (المضيف)

التنبؤ 22.47%4.45السعر العادل
EV -0.682%
الأفضلية -0.154%
Kelly -0.199%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.34%22.46%22.53%23.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.154.204.4226.32%24.08%23.81%22.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Salford City (الضيف)

التنبؤ 51.74%1.93السعر العادل
EV -3.24%
الأفضلية -1.73%
Kelly -3.73%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.33%51.81%51.70%53.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.771.761.8758.82%56.52%56.82%53.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.79%3.88السعر العادل
EV +0.574%
الأفضلية +0.147%
Kelly +0.198%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.26%25.72%25.77%26.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.453.633.603.9028.99%27.58%27.78%25.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.53%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.91%EV -6.35%E -3.51%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.574%E +0.147%K +0.198%G +0.001%4.4%2026-02-21 14:45
LowVig.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.53%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.91%EV -6.35%E -3.51%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.574%E +0.147%K +0.198%G +0.001%4.4%2026-02-21 14:45
1xBet4.13I 24.21%NM 22.60%EV -7.20%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.03%EV -8.93%E -5.08%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.37%EV -1.23%E -0.322%K -0.435%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:50
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.00%E -0.528%K -0.716%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 14:45
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -2.00%E -0.528%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:45
Pinnacle4.42I 22.62%NM 21.53%EV -0.682%E -0.154%K -0.199%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.16%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.31%EV -3.04%E -0.808%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 14:50
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.12%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.29%E -0.879%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:45
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
LeoVegas4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -12.04%E -7.08%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-20 05:50
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -12.04%E -7.08%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-20 05:50
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -6.75%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -6.65%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 14:53
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:45
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -8.93%E -5.08%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:55
BetUS4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -8.93%E -5.08%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:50
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:40
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -14.61%E -3.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 09:44
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -11.24%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -8.42%E -4.76%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:50
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:40
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:40
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:35
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:35
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.42%E -4.76%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:40
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -3.38%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:54
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:40
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:45
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.03%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.68%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.77%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%1.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%2.5%2026-02-21 14:50