L’École des cotes

Cheltenham Town v Salford City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cheltenham Town (Local)

Prévision 22.47%4.45cote équitable
EV -0.682%
Avantage -0.154%
Kelly -0.199%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.34%22.46%22.53%23.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.154.204.4226.32%24.08%23.81%22.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Salford City (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.74%1.93cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -1.73%
Kelly -3.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.33%51.81%51.70%53.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.771.761.8758.82%56.52%56.82%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.79%3.88cote équitable
EV +0.574%
Avantage +0.147%
Kelly +0.198%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.26%25.72%25.77%26.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.633.603.9028.99%27.58%27.78%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.53%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.91%EV -6.35%E -3.51%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.574%E +0.147%K +0.198%G +0.001%4.4%2026-02-21 14:45
LowVig.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.53%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.91%EV -6.35%E -3.51%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.574%E +0.147%K +0.198%G +0.001%4.4%2026-02-21 14:45
1xBet4.13I 24.21%NM 22.60%EV -7.20%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.03%EV -8.93%E -5.08%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.37%EV -1.23%E -0.322%K -0.435%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:50
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.00%E -0.528%K -0.716%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 14:45
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -2.00%E -0.528%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:45
Pinnacle4.42I 22.62%NM 21.53%EV -0.682%E -0.154%K -0.199%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.16%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.31%EV -3.04%E -0.808%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 14:50
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.12%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.29%E -0.879%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:45
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
LeoVegas4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:50
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -12.04%E -7.08%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-20 05:50
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -12.04%E -7.08%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-20 05:50
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -6.75%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -6.65%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 14:53
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:45
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -8.93%E -5.08%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:55
BetUS4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -8.93%E -5.08%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:50
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:40
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -14.61%E -3.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 09:44
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -11.24%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -8.42%E -4.76%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:50
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:40
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:40
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:35
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:35
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.42%E -4.76%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:40
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -3.38%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:54
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:40
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:45
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -6.87%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.03%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.68%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.77%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%1.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%2.5%2026-02-21 14:50