Language:English
Cheltenham Town v Gillingham
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cheltenham Town (Local)
Prediction 34.45%2.90fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.40%34.47%34.53%36.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.652.8040.00%37.68%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gillingham (Visit)
Prediction 35.66%2.80fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.90%35.68%35.61%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.602.602.6940.00%38.46%38.46%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.89%3.35fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -0.876%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.73%29.85%29.86%31.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.983.123.153.2533.56%32.01%31.75%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cheltenham Town (Local): 34.45%; Gillingham (Visit): 35.66%; Draw: 29.89%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -2.85%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.10%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -4.08%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.41%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -2.85%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 17:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.43%EV -5.86%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.43%EV -5.86%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.83%E -2.89%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 17:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -5.61%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.09%EV -5.86%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -10.92%E -3.66%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -5.61%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.09%EV -5.86%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -10.92%E -3.66%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.44%E -1.65%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.83%E -2.89%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.44%E -1.65%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.83%E -2.89%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -2.85%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 18:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 17:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 18:18 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -8.83%E -2.89%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 15:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV -9.40%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.37%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.57%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.85%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 07:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 07:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 07:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 07:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 07:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 07:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 07:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 07:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 07:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 07:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-09 07:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-09 07:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-09 07:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54% | 1.0% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54% | 1.0% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54% | 1.0% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.61% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.78% | 1.7% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |