Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cheltenham Town v Gillingham

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

Score final : Cheltenham Town 2–1 Gillingham

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cheltenham Town (Local)

Prévision 34.45%2.90cote équitable
EV -3.54%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -1.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.40%34.47%34.53%36.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.652.652.8040.00%37.68%37.74%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Gillingham (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.66%2.80cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -2.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.90%35.68%35.61%37.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.602.602.6940.00%38.46%38.46%37.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.89%3.35cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -0.876%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.73%29.85%29.86%31.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.983.123.153.2533.56%32.01%31.75%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cheltenham Town (Local) : 34.45% ; Gillingham (Visiteur) : 35.66% ; Match nul : 29.89%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.35. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.25, pour une espérance de -2.85% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.10%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -4.08%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.41%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 18:30
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -2.85%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 17:04
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.43%EV -5.86%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.43%EV -5.86%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:00
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.83%E -2.89%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 18:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 18:01
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 18:00
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 17:05
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -5.61%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.09%EV -5.86%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -10.92%E -3.66%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -5.61%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.09%EV -5.86%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -10.92%E -3.66%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:01
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.44%E -1.65%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.83%E -2.89%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:20
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.44%E -1.65%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.83%E -2.89%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -2.85%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 18:19
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 17:00
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 18:18
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 17:00
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 17:01
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:18
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 18:29
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 18:30
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 17:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -8.83%E -2.89%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 15:30
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 18:20
Everygame🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 18:19
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV -9.40%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.37%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 18:20
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.57%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.85%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:30
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-14 18:20
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-14 18:00
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 18:00
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 18:00
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:10
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-09 07:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-09 07:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-09 07:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.0%2026-04-14 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.0%2026-04-14 18:20
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.0%2026-04-14 18:30
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.61%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.78%1.7%2026-04-14 18:20