L’École des cotes

Cheltenham Town v Gillingham

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

Score final : Cheltenham Town 2–1 Gillingham

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cheltenham Town (Local)

Prévision 34.45%2.90cote équitable
EV -3.54%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -1.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.40%34.47%34.53%36.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.652.652.8040.00%37.68%37.74%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gillingham (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.66%2.80cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -2.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.90%35.68%35.61%37.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.602.602.6940.00%38.46%38.46%37.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.89%3.35cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -0.876%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.73%29.85%29.86%31.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.983.123.153.2533.56%32.01%31.75%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.10%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -4.08%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.41%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 18:30
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -2.85%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 17:04
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 18:20
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.43%EV -5.86%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.43%EV -5.86%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:00
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.83%E -2.89%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 18:01
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 18:01
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 18:00
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 17:05
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -5.61%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.09%EV -5.86%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -10.92%E -3.66%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:00
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -5.61%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.09%EV -5.86%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -10.92%E -3.66%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:01
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.44%E -1.65%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.83%E -2.89%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:20
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.44%E -1.65%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.83%E -2.89%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -2.85%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 18:19
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 17:00
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 18:18
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 17:00
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 17:00
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 17:00
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 17:01
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:18
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 18:29
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 18:30
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 17:00
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -8.83%E -2.89%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 15:30
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 18:20
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 18:19
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV -9.40%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.37%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 18:20
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.57%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.85%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:30
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-14 18:20
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-14 18:00
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 18:00
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 18:29
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 18:00
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:10
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:10
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-09 07:09
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-09 07:09
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-09 07:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.0%2026-04-14 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.0%2026-04-14 18:20
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.0%2026-04-14 18:30
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.61%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.78%1.7%2026-04-14 18:20