مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cheltenham Town v Gillingham

البداية: 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cheltenham Town 2–1 Gillingham

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cheltenham Town (المضيف)

التنبؤ 34.45%2.90السعر العادل
EV -3.54%
الأفضلية -1.27%
Kelly -1.97%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.40%34.47%34.53%36.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.652.652.8040.00%37.68%37.74%35.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Gillingham (الضيف)

التنبؤ 35.66%2.80السعر العادل
EV -4.08%
الأفضلية -1.52%
Kelly -2.41%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.90%35.68%35.61%37.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.602.602.6940.00%38.46%38.46%37.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.89%3.35السعر العادل
EV -2.85%
الأفضلية -0.876%
Kelly -1.27%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.73%29.85%29.86%31.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.983.123.153.2533.56%32.01%31.75%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.10%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -4.08%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.41%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 18:30
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -2.85%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 17:04
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 18:20
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.43%EV -5.86%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.43%EV -5.86%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:00
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.83%E -2.89%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 18:01
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 18:01
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 18:00
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 17:05
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -5.61%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.09%EV -5.86%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -10.92%E -3.66%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:00
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -5.61%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.09%EV -5.86%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -10.92%E -3.66%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:01
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.44%E -1.65%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.83%E -2.89%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:20
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.44%E -1.65%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.83%E -2.89%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -2.85%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 18:19
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 17:00
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 18:18
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 17:00
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 17:00
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 17:00
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 17:01
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:18
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 18:29
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 18:30
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 17:00
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -8.83%E -2.89%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 15:30
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 18:20
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 18:19
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV -9.40%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.37%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 18:20
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.57%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.85%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:30
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-14 18:20
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-14 18:00
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 18:00
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 18:29
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 18:00
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:10
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:10
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.22%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 07:09
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-09 07:09
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-09 07:09
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-09 07:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.0%2026-04-14 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.0%2026-04-14 18:20
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.0%2026-04-14 18:30
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.61%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.78%1.7%2026-04-14 18:20