Language:English
Cheltenham Town v Colchester United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cheltenham Town (Local)
Prediction 30.07%3.33fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.52%30.10%30.06%31.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.083.103.2034.48%32.50%32.26%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Colchester United (Visit)
Prediction 43.54%2.30fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -3.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.48%43.47%43.59%44.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.132.152.2048.78%46.84%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.39%3.79fair odd
EV +0.280%
Edge +0.074%
Kelly +0.100%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%26.43%26.34%27.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.483.503.8029.85%28.75%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cheltenham Town (Local): 30.07%; Colchester United (Visit): 43.54%; Draw: 26.39%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.280%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +0.280%E +0.074%K +0.100%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.36%E -0.638%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.72%EV -2.62%E -0.711%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.00%EV -9.20%E -3.05%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -5.51%E -2.54%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.86%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.90%EV -8.12%E -3.85%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -6.05%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -7.69%E -3.63%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -7.69%E -3.63%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.22%EV -6.19%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.20%EV -8.12%E -3.85%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.87% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.87% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.72% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.12% | 2.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |