Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cheltenham Town v Colchester United

Inizio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Finale: Cheltenham Town 1–4 Colchester United

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

51 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cheltenham Town (Casa)

Previsione 30.07%3.33quota equa
EV -3.79%
Vantaggio -1.18%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.52%30.10%30.06%31.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.083.103.2034.48%32.50%32.26%31.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Colchester United (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.54%2.30quota equa
EV -4.20%
Vantaggio -1.91%
Kelly -3.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.48%43.47%43.59%44.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.132.152.2048.78%46.84%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.39%3.79quota equa
EV +0.280%
Vantaggio +0.074%
Kelly +0.100%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.53%26.43%26.34%27.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.483.503.8029.85%28.75%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Cheltenham Town (Casa): 30.07%; Colchester United (Trasferta): 43.54%; Pareggio: 26.39%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.79. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.80, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.280%.

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +0.280%E +0.074%K +0.100%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.36%E -0.638%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Pinnacle🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.72%EV -2.62%E -0.711%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:50
1xBet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.00%EV -9.20%E -3.05%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -5.51%E -2.54%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.86%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:50
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:55
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.90%EV -8.12%E -3.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -6.05%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -7.69%E -3.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:45
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -7.69%E -3.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:45
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.22%EV -6.19%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:45
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:55
BetUS🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:55
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.20%EV -8.12%E -3.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 08:55
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:39
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:45
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:35
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:45
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:45
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.72%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.12%2.1%2026-05-02 13:55