La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cheltenham Town v Colchester United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cheltenham Town (Local)
Predicción 30.07%3.33momio equitativo
EV -3.79%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.52%30.10%30.06%31.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.083.103.2034.48%32.50%32.26%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Colchester United (Visitante)
Predicción 43.54%2.30momio equitativo
EV -4.20%
Ventaja -1.91%
Kelly -3.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.48%43.47%43.59%44.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.132.152.2048.78%46.84%46.51%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.39%3.79momio equitativo
EV +0.280%
Ventaja +0.074%
Kelly +0.100%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.53%26.43%26.34%27.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.483.503.8029.85%28.75%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +0.280%E +0.074%K +0.100%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.36%E -0.638%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.72%EV -2.62%E -0.711%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.00%EV -9.20%E -3.05%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -5.51%E -2.54%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.86%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| betfred_uk | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Neds | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.90%EV -8.12%E -3.85%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -6.05%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -7.69%E -3.63%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -7.69%E -3.63%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Bet Victor | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.22%EV -6.19%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Bet Right | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.20%EV -8.12%E -3.85%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:39 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Casumo | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LeoVegas | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.87% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.87% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.72% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.12% | 2.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |