مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cheltenham Town v Colchester United

البداية: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cheltenham Town 1–4 Colchester United

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cheltenham Town (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.07%3.33السعر العادل
EV -3.79%
الأفضلية -1.18%
Kelly -1.72%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.52%30.10%30.06%31.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.083.103.2034.48%32.50%32.26%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Colchester United (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.54%2.30السعر العادل
EV -4.20%
الأفضلية -1.91%
Kelly -3.50%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.48%43.47%43.59%44.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.132.152.2048.78%46.84%46.51%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.39%3.79السعر العادل
EV +0.280%
الأفضلية +0.074%
Kelly +0.100%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.53%26.43%26.34%27.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.353.483.503.8029.85%28.75%28.57%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +0.280%E +0.074%K +0.100%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.36%E -0.638%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Pinnacle3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.72%EV -2.62%E -0.711%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:50
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.00%EV -9.20%E -3.05%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -5.51%E -2.54%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.86%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:50
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:55
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:54
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.90%EV -8.12%E -3.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -6.05%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -7.69%E -3.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:45
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -7.69%E -3.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:45
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 30.22%EV -6.19%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:54
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:45
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:55
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:55
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.20%EV -8.12%E -3.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 08:55
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:39
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:45
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:45
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:45
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:35
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:45
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:45
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:45
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.72%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.12%2.1%2026-05-02 13:55