Language:English
Cambridge United v Swindon Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cambridge United (Local)
Prediction 54.42%1.84fair odd
EV -4.76%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -6.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.36%54.51%54.44%55.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.701.7560.61%58.75%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Swindon Town (Visit)
Prediction 19.00%5.26fair odd
EV +2.62%
Edge +0.486%
Kelly +0.596%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.67%18.97%18.99%19.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.854.805.4022.22%20.62%20.83%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.57%3.76fair odd
EV -0.348%
Edge -0.093%
Kelly -0.126%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.78%26.52%26.57%28.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.483.453.7532.26%28.72%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cambridge United (Local): 54.42%; Swindon Town (Visit): 19.00%; Draw: 26.57%. For Swindon Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.26. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.67%EV +2.62%E +0.486%K +0.596%G +0.016% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.67%EV +2.62%E +0.486%K +0.596%G +0.016% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.23%EV -6.39%E -3.72%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.38%EV -1.75%E -0.338%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -6.39%E -3.72%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -6.39%E -3.72%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -8.03%E -4.75%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.30%EV -10.20%E -6.18%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -5.93%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -5.66%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -5.93%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -5.66%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.82%EV -8.03%E -4.75%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -5.93%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -6.88%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.65%EV -5.31%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.21%EV -7.64%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.14%EV -8.59%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.03%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.98%EV -5.31%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.66%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.50%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 18:48 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.39%E -3.72%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.39%E -3.72%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -0.348%E -0.093%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.68%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.83%EV -9.66%E -5.82%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.12%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.12%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.12%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.90%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.98%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -10.68%E -2.27%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.01%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -10.68%E -2.27%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-02 18:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -17.62%E -5.68%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.13% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.13% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.42% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.96% | 1.4% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.56% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.21% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 1.7% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |