La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cambridge United v Swindon Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cambridge United (Local)
Predicción 54.42%1.84momio equitativo
EV -4.76%
Ventaja -2.72%
Kelly -6.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.36%54.51%54.44%55.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.701.701.7560.61%58.75%58.82%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Swindon Town (Visitante)
Predicción 19.00%5.26momio equitativo
EV +2.62%
Ventaja +0.486%
Kelly +0.596%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.67%18.97%18.99%19.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.854.805.4022.22%20.62%20.83%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.57%3.76momio equitativo
EV -0.348%
Ventaja -0.093%
Kelly -0.126%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.78%26.52%26.57%28.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.483.453.7532.26%28.72%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.67%EV +2.62%E +0.486%K +0.596%G +0.016% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.67%EV +2.62%E +0.486%K +0.596%G +0.016% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.23%EV -6.39%E -3.72%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.38%EV -1.75%E -0.338%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -6.39%E -3.72%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -6.39%E -3.72%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -8.03%E -4.75%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.30%EV -10.20%E -6.18%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -5.93%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -5.66%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -5.93%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -5.66%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.82%EV -8.03%E -4.75%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -5.93%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -6.88%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.65%EV -5.31%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.21%EV -7.64%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.14%EV -8.59%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.03%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.98%EV -5.31%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.66%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.50%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| BetUS | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 18:48 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.39%E -3.72%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Neds | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.39%E -3.72%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -0.348%E -0.093%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.68%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.83%EV -9.66%E -5.82%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.12%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.12%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.12%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.90%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.98%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -10.68%E -2.27%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 18:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.01%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -10.68%E -2.27%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-02 18:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -17.62%E -5.68%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.13% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.13% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.42% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.96% | 1.4% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.56% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.21% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 1.7% | 2026-04-02 19:00 |