L’École des cotes

Cambridge United v Swindon Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 19:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cambridge United (Local)

Prévision 54.42%1.84cote équitable
EV -4.76%
Avantage -2.72%
Kelly -6.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.36%54.51%54.44%55.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.701.701.7560.61%58.75%58.82%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Swindon Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.00%5.26cote équitable
EV +2.62%
Avantage +0.486%
Kelly +0.596%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 5.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.67%18.97%18.99%19.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.854.805.4022.22%20.62%20.83%18.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.57%3.76cote équitable
EV -0.348%
Avantage -0.093%
Kelly -0.126%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.78%26.52%26.57%28.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.483.453.7532.26%28.72%28.99%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.67%EV +2.62%E +0.486%K +0.596%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.67%EV +2.62%E +0.486%K +0.596%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 19:00
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 55.23%EV -6.39%E -3.72%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.38%EV -1.75%E -0.338%K -0.419%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 18:59
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 19:00
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 18:59
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 19:00
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -6.39%E -3.72%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 18:59
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -6.39%E -3.72%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 18:59
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 19:00
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -8.03%E -4.75%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 18:59
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.30%EV -10.20%E -6.18%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 18:59
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -5.93%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -5.66%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 19:00
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -5.93%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -5.66%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 19:00
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.82%EV -8.03%E -4.75%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -5.93%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 18:59
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -6.88%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 18:59
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.65%EV -5.31%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.21%EV -7.64%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.14%EV -8.59%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 18:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.03%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 19:00
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.98%EV -5.31%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.66%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 19:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.50%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 19:00
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 18:59
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 19:00
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 19:00
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 18:48
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 19:00
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 19:00
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 19:00
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 19:00
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 19:00
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.39%E -3.72%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 18:59
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.39%E -3.72%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 18:59
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 18:59
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -0.348%E -0.093%K -0.126%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 19:00
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 18:59
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 18:59
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.68%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 19:00
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 18:59
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-02 18:59
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.83%EV -9.66%E -5.82%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 19:00
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.12%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.12%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 19:00
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.12%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 19:00
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.90%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.98%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-02 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -10.68%E -2.27%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 18:59
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.01%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -10.68%E -2.27%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 18:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -17.62%E -5.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-02 19:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.13%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.7%2026-04-02 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.13%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.7%2026-04-02 19:00
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-04-02 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.42%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.96%1.4%2026-04-02 19:00
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.56%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.21%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-04-02 19:00