Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barrow v Accrington Stanley

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barrow (Local)

Prediction 45.92%2.18fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -3.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.72%45.95%45.84%47.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.022.1052.36%49.69%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Accrington Stanley (Visit)

Prediction 26.05%3.84fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.266%
Kelly -0.361%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.67%26.01%26.13%27.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.523.503.8029.85%28.43%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.03%3.57fair odd
EV -4.68%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.46%28.05%28.03%29.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.293.303.4034.72%30.39%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barrow (Local): 45.92%; Accrington Stanley (Visit): 26.05%; Draw: 28.03%. For Accrington Stanley (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -1.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:45
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.10%EV -1.01%E -0.266%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.38%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:45
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:45
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:40
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:50
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.62%E -0.977%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:45
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.01%E -0.266%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.01%E -0.266%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -5.70%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:50
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:40
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:43
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:45
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -10.13%E -2.94%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:40
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:40
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 14:50
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.11%EV -3.09%E -0.832%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.72%EV -5.53%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:50
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%EV -10.00%E -5.10%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -2.31%E -0.617%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -3.62%E -0.977%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -3.62%E -0.977%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 14:45
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:34
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -12.30%E -6.44%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -19.26%E -6.69%K -10.25%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.97%2.2%2026-03-14 14:55