La escuela de los momios

Barrow v Accrington Stanley

Inicio: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barrow (Local)

Predicción 45.92%2.18momio equitativo
EV -3.58%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -3.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.72%45.95%45.84%47.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.012.022.1052.36%49.69%49.50%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Accrington Stanley (Visitante)

Predicción 26.05%3.84momio equitativo
EV -1.01%
Ventaja -0.266%
Kelly -0.361%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.67%26.01%26.13%27.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.523.503.8029.85%28.43%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.03%3.57momio equitativo
EV -4.68%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -1.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.46%28.05%28.03%29.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.293.303.4034.72%30.39%30.30%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 14:40
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:45
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:45
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.10%EV -1.01%E -0.266%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.38%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:45
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:45
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:45
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:40
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:50
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.62%E -0.977%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.01%E -0.266%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.01%E -0.266%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:50
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -5.70%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:50
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:40
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:43
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:45
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:45
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -10.13%E -2.94%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:40
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:40
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:40
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 14:50
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.11%EV -3.09%E -0.832%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.72%EV -5.53%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:50
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%EV -10.00%E -5.10%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -2.31%E -0.617%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:45
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -3.62%E -0.977%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:50
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -3.62%E -0.977%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 14:45
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:34
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -12.30%E -6.44%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -19.26%E -6.69%K -10.25%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.97%2.2%2026-03-14 14:55