Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Barrow v Accrington Stanley

Início: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Barrow (Local)

Previsão 45.92%2.18odd justa
EV -3.58%
Vantagem -1.70%
Kelly -3.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.72%45.95%45.84%47.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.012.022.1052.36%49.69%49.50%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Accrington Stanley (Visitante)

Previsão 26.05%3.84odd justa
EV -1.01%
Vantagem -0.266%
Kelly -0.361%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.67%26.01%26.13%27.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.353.523.503.8029.85%28.43%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.03%3.57odd justa
EV -4.68%
Vantagem -1.38%
Kelly -1.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.46%28.05%28.03%29.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.293.303.4034.72%30.39%30.30%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Barrow (Local): 45.92%; Accrington Stanley (Visitante): 26.05%; Empate: 28.03%. Para Accrington Stanley (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.84. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.80, com valor esperado de -1.01%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:45
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.10%EV -1.01%E -0.266%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.38%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:45
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:45
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:40
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:50
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.62%E -0.977%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:45
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.01%E -0.266%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.01%E -0.266%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -5.70%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:50
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:40
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:43
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:45
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -10.13%E -2.94%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:40
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:40
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 14:50
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.11%EV -3.09%E -0.832%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.72%EV -5.53%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:50
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%EV -10.00%E -5.10%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -2.31%E -0.617%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -3.62%E -0.977%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -3.62%E -0.977%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 14:45
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:34
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -12.30%E -6.44%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -19.26%E -6.69%K -10.25%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.97%2.2%2026-03-14 14:55