L’École des cotes

Barrow v Accrington Stanley

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Barrow (Local)

Prévision 45.92%2.18cote équitable
EV -3.58%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -3.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.72%45.95%45.84%47.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.012.022.1052.36%49.69%49.50%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Accrington Stanley (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.05%3.84cote équitable
EV -1.01%
Avantage -0.266%
Kelly -0.361%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.67%26.01%26.13%27.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.523.503.8029.85%28.43%28.57%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.03%3.57cote équitable
EV -4.68%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -1.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.46%28.05%28.03%29.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.293.303.4034.72%30.39%30.30%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 14:40
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:45
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:45
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.10%EV -1.01%E -0.266%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.38%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:45
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:45
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:45
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:40
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:50
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.62%E -0.977%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.01%E -0.266%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.01%E -0.266%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:50
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -5.70%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:50
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:40
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:43
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:45
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:45
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -10.13%E -2.94%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:40
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:40
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:40
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 14:50
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.11%EV -3.09%E -0.832%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.72%EV -5.53%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:50
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%EV -10.00%E -5.10%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -2.31%E -0.617%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:45
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -3.62%E -0.977%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:50
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -3.62%E -0.977%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 14:45
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:34
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -12.30%E -6.44%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -19.26%E -6.69%K -10.25%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.97%2.2%2026-03-14 14:55