Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnet v Salford City

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Final: Barnet 3–1 Salford City

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnet (Local)

Prediction 40.85%2.45fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.24%40.86%40.81%41.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.262.252.3546.51%44.31%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Salford City (Visit)

Prediction 32.02%3.12fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.98%32.07%32.05%33.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.902.903.0035.71%34.43%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.13%3.69fair odd
EV -0.701%
Edge -0.192%
Kelly -0.264%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.97%27.07%27.14%28.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.383.403.6631.75%29.62%29.41%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barnet (Local): 40.85%; Salford City (Visit): 32.02%; Draw: 27.13%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.66, with an expected value of -0.701%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.35%EV -8.42%E -2.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -0.701%E -0.192%K -0.264%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 13:45
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 13:45
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 13:34
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:14
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:48
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:47
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:50
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.33%E -0.647%K -0.896%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:45
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 12:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 12:14
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 12:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 12:14
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.78%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.74%EV -6.46%E -2.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -10.02%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -2.87%E -0.802%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.24%EV -7.69%E -3.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.24%EV -7.69%E -3.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:45
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.24%EV -7.69%E -3.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:34
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -2.60%E -0.724%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:54
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.78%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.33%E -0.647%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:44
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 12:19
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:34
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:44
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 12:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:34
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 13:45
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 13:44
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 13:45
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 13:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%EV -9.32%E -4.20%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 13:54
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -7.78%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:54
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 13:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -11.77%E -5.45%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -14.54%E -4.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -11.77%E -5.45%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -14.54%E -4.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 08:00
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -12.18%E -5.66%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 12:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-08-15 13:55
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-08-15 13:55