Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Barnet v Salford City

Início: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Final: Barnet 3–1 Salford City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Barnet (Local)

Previsão 40.85%2.45odd justa
EV -4.01%
Vantagem -1.71%
Kelly -2.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.24%40.86%40.81%41.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.262.252.3546.51%44.31%44.44%42.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Salford City (Visitante)

Previsão 32.02%3.12odd justa
EV -3.93%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -1.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.98%32.07%32.05%33.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.902.903.0035.71%34.43%34.48%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.13%3.69odd justa
EV -0.701%
Vantagem -0.192%
Kelly -0.264%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.97%27.07%27.14%28.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.383.403.6631.75%29.62%29.41%27.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Barnet (Local): 40.85%; Salford City (Visitante): 32.02%; Empate: 27.13%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.69. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.66, com valor esperado de -0.701%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.35%EV -8.42%E -2.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -0.701%E -0.192%K -0.264%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 13:45
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 13:45
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 13:34
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:14
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:48
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:47
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:50
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.33%E -0.647%K -0.896%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:45
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 12:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 12:14
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 12:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 12:14
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.78%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.74%EV -6.46%E -2.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -10.02%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -2.87%E -0.802%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.24%EV -7.69%E -3.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.24%EV -7.69%E -3.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:45
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.24%EV -7.69%E -3.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:34
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -2.60%E -0.724%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:54
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.78%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.33%E -0.647%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:44
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 12:19
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:34
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:44
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 12:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:34
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 13:45
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 13:44
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 13:45
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 13:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%EV -9.32%E -4.20%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 13:54
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -7.78%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:54
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 13:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -11.77%E -5.45%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -14.54%E -4.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -11.77%E -5.45%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -14.54%E -4.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 08:00
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -12.18%E -5.66%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 12:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-08-15 13:55
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-08-15 13:55