La escuela de los momios

Barnet v Salford City

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 2

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barnet (Local)

Predicción 44.54%2.25momio equitativo
EV -4.24%
Ventaja -1.97%
Kelly -3.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.06%44.49%44.49%46.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.062.052.1550.00%48.64%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Salford City (Visitante)

Predicción 27.38%3.65momio equitativo
EV -4.16%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.63%27.41%27.34%28.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.353.353.5032.26%29.85%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.08%3.56momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.493%
Kelly -0.690%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.97%28.11%28.17%28.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.253.253.5032.26%30.77%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.53%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 09:54
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 21:00
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 18:34
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.53%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 19:44
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 19:44
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.24%EV -6.35%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.40%EV -7.90%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 07:40
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.53%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.53%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 19:44
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 23:39
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -7.90%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 07:40
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-07 09:49
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -1.73%E -0.493%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 05:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 10:19
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 16:35
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-07 09:53
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 08:59
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 08:59
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-23 19:25
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 11:25
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.96%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-07 09:54
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -10.03%E -4.97%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 06:29
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -10.03%E -4.97%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 06:30
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -10.03%E -4.97%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 06:30
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -10.03%E -4.97%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 06:30
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -10.03%E -4.97%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 06:30
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -10.03%E -4.97%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 06:29
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -10.03%E -4.97%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 06:29
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -10.03%E -4.97%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 06:29
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -10.03%E -4.97%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 06:29
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -10.03%E -4.97%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 06:29
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -10.03%E -4.97%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 06:29
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -10.03%E -4.97%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -10.03%E -4.97%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -10.03%E -4.97%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 11:29
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -10.03%E -4.97%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 15:39
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -10.92%E -5.46%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.53%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -5.94%E -1.77%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 05:59
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.92%E -5.46%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-30 06:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 45.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%11.4%2026-07-23 06:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-07 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-07 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-07 13:25