StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Barnet v Salford City

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Barnet 3–1 Salford City

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Barnet (Hemma)

Prognos 40.85%2.45rättvist odds
EV -4.01%
Fördel -1.71%
Kelly -2.97%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.24%40.86%40.81%41.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.262.252.3546.51%44.31%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Salford City (Borta)

Prognos 32.02%3.12rättvist odds
EV -3.93%
Fördel -1.31%
Kelly -1.97%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.98%32.07%32.05%33.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.802.902.903.0035.71%34.43%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.13%3.69rättvist odds
EV -0.701%
Fördel -0.192%
Kelly -0.264%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.66

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.97%27.07%27.14%28.20%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.153.383.403.6631.75%29.62%29.41%27.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Barnet (Hemma): 40.85%; Salford City (Borta): 32.02%; Oavgjort: 27.13%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.69. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.66, med väntevärdet -0.701%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.35%EV -8.42%E -2.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -0.701%E -0.192%K -0.264%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 13:45
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 13:45
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 13:34
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:14
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:48
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:47
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:50
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.33%E -0.647%K -0.896%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:45
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 12:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 12:14
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 12:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 12:14
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.78%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.74%EV -6.46%E -2.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -10.02%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -2.87%E -0.802%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.24%EV -7.69%E -3.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.24%EV -7.69%E -3.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:45
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.24%EV -7.69%E -3.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:34
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -2.60%E -0.724%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:54
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.78%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.33%E -0.647%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:44
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 12:19
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:34
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:44
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 12:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:34
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 13:45
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 08:00
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 13:44
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 13:45
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 13:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%EV -9.32%E -4.20%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 13:54
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -7.78%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -5.53%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:54
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 13:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -11.77%E -5.45%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -14.54%E -4.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -11.77%E -5.45%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -14.54%E -4.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 08:00
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -12.18%E -5.66%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 12:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-08-15 13:55
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-08-15 13:55