Language:English
Barnet v Chesterfield FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Barnet (Local)
Prediction 45.45%2.20fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -4.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.79%45.55%45.57%49.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.822.012.002.1054.95%49.81%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chesterfield FC (Visit)
Prediction 28.23%3.54fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.345%
Kelly -0.484%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.76%28.11%28.13%28.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.333.5032.26%30.08%30.03%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.32%3.80fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -0.708%
Kelly -0.970%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.70%26.35%26.30%27.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.473.453.7032.26%28.84%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barnet (Local): 45.45%; Chesterfield FC (Visit): 28.23%; Draw: 26.32%. For Chesterfield FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.61%EV -5.00%E -2.39%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.63%EV -6.01%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -2.62%E -0.708%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.91%EV -6.36%E -3.09%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.91%EV -6.36%E -3.09%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 06:43 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 06:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 12:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 06:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 06:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 06:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 11:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.86%EV -7.73%E -3.81%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.13%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.01%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.81%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.07%EV -8.64%E -4.30%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.87%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 08:58 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 06:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 07:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 06:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 06:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 11:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -10.00%E -5.05%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 05:48 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 05:48 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 05:48 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 05:48 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.83%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.83%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 05:48 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.08%EV -10.91%E -5.57%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.83%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -11.36%E -5.83%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -1.21%E -0.345%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 08:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.36%E -5.83%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 06:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -13.18%E -6.90%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -18.41%E -5.94%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.54%EV -17.27%E -9.49%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -1.21%E -0.345%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-24 20:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |