Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barnet v Chesterfield FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barnet (Local)

Prévision 45.45%2.20cote équitable
EV -4.54%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -4.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.79%45.55%45.57%49.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.822.012.002.1054.95%49.81%50.00%47.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chesterfield FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.23%3.54cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.345%
Kelly -0.484%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.76%28.11%28.13%28.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.323.333.5032.26%30.08%30.03%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.32%3.80cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -0.708%
Kelly -0.970%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.70%26.35%26.30%27.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.473.453.7032.26%28.84%28.99%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Barnet (Local) : 45.45% ; Chesterfield FC (Visiteur) : 28.23% ; Match nul : 26.32%. Pour Chesterfield FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.54. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.50, pour une espérance de -1.21% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 10:30
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.61%EV -5.00%E -2.39%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.63%EV -6.01%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -2.62%E -0.708%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 10:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 10:30
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 10:30
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 10:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.91%EV -6.36%E -3.09%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.91%EV -6.36%E -3.09%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 11:20
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 06:43
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 06:44
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 10:30
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 12:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 06:44
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 06:45
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 06:44
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 11:55
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 10:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 14:15
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.86%EV -7.73%E -3.81%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.13%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.01%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 10:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.81%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.07%EV -8.64%E -4.30%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.87%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 10:30
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 08:58
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 10:30
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 13:54
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 10:30
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 10:30
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 06:59
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 07:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 06:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 06:59
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 11:44
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -10.00%E -5.05%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 05:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:49
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:49
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:48
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:48
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:48
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:49
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:48
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.83%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 05:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.83%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 05:48
LeoVegas🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.08%EV -10.91%E -5.57%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.83%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 05:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -11.36%E -5.83%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -1.21%E -0.345%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 08:54
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.36%E -5.83%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 06:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -13.18%E -6.90%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -18.41%E -5.94%K -8.77%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-28 10:30
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.54%EV -17.27%E -9.49%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -1.21%E -0.345%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-24 20:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-02-28 14:15