默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Barnet v Chesterfield FC

开赛时间: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

51 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Barnet (主队)

预测 45.45%2.20公平赔率
EV -4.54%
优势 -2.16%
Kelly -4.13%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
44.79%45.55%45.57%49.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.822.012.002.1054.95%49.81%50.00%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chesterfield FC (客队)

预测 28.23%3.54公平赔率
EV -1.21%
优势 -0.345%
Kelly -0.484%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
25.76%28.11%28.13%28.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.323.333.5032.26%30.08%30.03%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.32%3.80公平赔率
EV -2.62%
优势 -0.708%
Kelly -0.970%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布
24.70%26.35%26.30%27.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.473.453.7032.26%28.84%28.99%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Barnet (主队):45.45%;Chesterfield FC (客队):28.23%;平局:26.32%。 对于“Chesterfield FC (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.54。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.50,期望值为-1.21%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 10:30
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.61%EV -5.00%E -2.39%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.63%EV -6.01%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -2.62%E -0.708%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 10:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 10:30
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 10:30
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 10:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.91%EV -6.36%E -3.09%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.91%EV -6.36%E -3.09%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 11:20
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 06:43
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 06:44
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 10:30
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 12:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 06:44
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 06:45
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 06:44
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 11:55
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 10:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 14:15
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.86%EV -7.73%E -3.81%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.13%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.01%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 10:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.81%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.07%EV -8.64%E -4.30%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.87%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 10:30
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 08:58
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 10:30
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 13:54
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 10:30
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 10:30
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 06:59
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 07:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 06:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 06:59
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 11:44
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -10.00%E -5.05%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 05:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:49
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:49
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:48
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:48
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:48
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:49
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:48
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.83%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 05:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.83%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 05:48
LeoVegas🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.08%EV -10.91%E -5.57%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.83%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 05:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -11.36%E -5.83%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -1.21%E -0.345%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 08:54
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.36%E -5.83%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 06:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -13.18%E -6.90%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -18.41%E -5.94%K -8.77%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-28 10:30
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.54%EV -17.27%E -9.49%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -1.21%E -0.345%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-24 20:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-02-28 14:15