La escuela de los momios

Barnet v Chesterfield FC

Inicio: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barnet (Local)

Predicción 45.45%2.20momio equitativo
EV -4.54%
Ventaja -2.16%
Kelly -4.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.79%45.55%45.57%49.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.822.012.002.1054.95%49.81%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chesterfield FC (Visitante)

Predicción 28.23%3.54momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.345%
Kelly -0.484%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.76%28.11%28.13%28.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.323.333.5032.26%30.08%30.03%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.32%3.80momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -0.708%
Kelly -0.970%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.70%26.35%26.30%27.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.473.453.7032.26%28.84%28.99%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 10:30
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 45.61%EV -5.00%E -2.39%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.63%EV -6.01%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -2.62%E -0.708%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 10:30
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 10:30
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 10:30
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 10:30
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 45.91%EV -6.36%E -3.09%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 11:20
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 45.91%EV -6.36%E -3.09%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 11:20
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 06:43
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 06:44
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 10:30
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 12:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 06:44
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 06:45
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 06:44
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 11:55
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 10:30
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 14:15
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.86%EV -7.73%E -3.81%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.13%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.01%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 10:30
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.81%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 10:30
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.07%EV -8.64%E -4.30%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.87%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 10:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 08:58
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 10:30
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 13:54
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 10:30
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 10:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 06:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 07:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 06:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 06:59
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 11:44
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -10.00%E -5.05%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 05:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:49
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:49
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:49
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:48
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:48
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:48
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:49
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:49
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:49
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 05:48
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.83%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 05:49
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -10.45%E -5.31%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.83%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 05:48
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.08%EV -10.91%E -5.57%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.83%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 05:49
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -11.36%E -5.83%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -1.21%E -0.345%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 08:54
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.36%E -5.83%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 06:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -13.18%E -6.90%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -18.41%E -5.94%K -8.77%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-28 10:30
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.54%EV -17.27%E -9.49%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -1.21%E -0.345%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-24 20:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-02-28 14:15