Language:English
Accrington Stanley v Grimsby Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Accrington Stanley (Local)
Prediction 26.56%3.77fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.467%
Kelly -0.640%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.49%26.51%26.60%27.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.483.453.7030.30%28.76%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grimsby Town (Visit)
Prediction 46.84%2.13fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -3.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.63%46.89%46.76%48.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.981.982.0553.48%50.39%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.60%3.76fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.353%
Kelly -0.484%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.09%26.60%26.64%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.453.403.7130.77%29.00%29.41%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Accrington Stanley (Local): 26.56%; Grimsby Town (Visit): 46.84%; Draw: 26.60%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.71, with an expected value of -1.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.73%E -0.467%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.01%E -5.79%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 07:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.71%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 04:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.71%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 06:13 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.71%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 06:12 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.97%EV -6.24%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.91%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.66%EV -1.31%E -0.353%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.32%EV -6.51%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -5.83%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 05:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.63%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.63%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 09:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-01 15:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -9.13%E -4.71%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 14:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 14:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 18:33 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -12.41%E -6.64%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 17:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 15:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -6.79%E -3.41%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 14:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -6.79%E -3.41%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 14:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.20%E -4.18%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 15:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -1.58%E -0.426%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 17:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 09:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.54%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.02%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.20%E -4.18%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.35%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -12.35%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.77%EV -9.13%E -4.71%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -12.35%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.77%EV -9.13%E -4.71%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.41% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 1.4% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |