Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Accrington Stanley v Grimsby Town

2026-09-01 18:45 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Prediction 26.84%3.73fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -0.942%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.94%26.80%26.88%28.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.453.453.6030.30%29.03%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grimsby Town (Visit)

Prediction 46.39%2.16fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -4.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.57%46.45%46.36%47.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.931.992.002.0551.81%50.26%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.77%3.73fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.70%26.75%26.77%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.433.403.6030.30%29.17%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Accrington Stanley (Local): 26.84%; Grimsby Town (Visit): 46.39%; Draw: 26.77%. For Accrington Stanley (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -3.39%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.39%E -0.942%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:34
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.39%E -0.942%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -8.15%E -4.11%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 17:34
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.29%E -3.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 17:35
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.22%E -3.61%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 17:34
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.47%E -5.42%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 18:59
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.54%E -4.89%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 17:18
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.54%E -4.89%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 17:19
Pinnacle🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.36%EV -5.83%E -2.87%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.36%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 17:25
1xBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.10%EV -6.29%E -3.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.91%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:45
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -7.22%E -3.61%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 17:34
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -10.47%E -5.42%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -7.69%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -7.22%E -3.61%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.22%E -3.61%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:34
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.22%E -3.61%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:34
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.22%E -3.61%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 18:50
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.22%E -3.61%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:50
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -9.54%E -4.89%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.63%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 17:00
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.22%E -3.61%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 17:25
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.22%E -3.61%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 17:25
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.54%E -4.89%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 18:35
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.44%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.22%E -3.61%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -3.61%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 18:23
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.44%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.54%E -4.89%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 26.40%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.23%16.6%2026-08-29 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-29 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-29 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-29 16:40