Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Accrington Stanley v Grimsby Town

2026-09-01 18:45 UTC — League 2

Testa a testa

26 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Accrington Stanley (Casa)

Previsione 26.89%3.72quota equa
EV -3.18%
Vantaggio -0.883%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.94%26.85%26.92%28.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.443.423.6030.30%29.07%29.24%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Grimsby Town (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.39%2.16quota equa
EV -4.89%
Vantaggio -2.39%
Kelly -4.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.57%46.45%46.35%47.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.931.992.002.0551.81%50.23%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.71%3.74quota equa
EV -3.84%
Vantaggio -1.07%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.70%26.70%26.73%27.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.423.403.6030.30%29.22%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Accrington Stanley (Casa): 26.89%; Grimsby Town (Trasferta): 46.39%; Pareggio: 26.71%. Per Accrington Stanley (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.72. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.60, con un valore atteso del -3.18%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.18%E -0.883%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.89%E -2.39%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:34
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.18%E -0.883%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -8.14%E -4.11%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.89%E -2.39%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 17:34
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 17:35
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 17:34
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.46%E -5.42%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 18:59
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 17:18
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 17:19
Pinnacle🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.36%EV -5.82%E -2.87%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.36%EV -4.64%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 17:25
1xBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.10%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.91%EV -7.58%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:45
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 17:34
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -10.46%E -5.42%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -7.48%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -7.58%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 18:40
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 19:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:34
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:34
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 18:50
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:50
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 17:00
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 17:25
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 19:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 19:50
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 18:35
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.25%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 18:23
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.25%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 18:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%7.5%2026-08-29 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%7.5%2026-08-29 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%7.5%2026-08-29 19:35
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 26.51%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.57%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%16.1%2026-08-29 19:35
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 47.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 32.21%3.10I 32.26%NM 20.78%55.3%2026-08-29 19:45