Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Accrington Stanley v Grimsby Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Score final : Accrington Stanley 2–2 Grimsby Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Prévision 26.56%3.77cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -0.467%
Kelly -0.640%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.49%26.51%26.60%27.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.483.453.7030.30%28.76%28.99%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Grimsby Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.84%2.13cote équitable
EV -3.98%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -3.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.63%46.89%46.76%48.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.871.981.982.0553.48%50.39%50.51%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.60%3.76cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -0.353%
Kelly -0.484%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.09%26.60%26.64%27.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.453.403.7130.77%29.00%29.41%26.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Accrington Stanley (Local) : 26.56% ; Grimsby Town (Visiteur) : 46.84% ; Match nul : 26.60%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.76. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.71, pour une espérance de -1.31% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.73%E -0.467%K -0.640%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:04
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:04
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 08:20
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 14:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 08:20
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 08:20
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 08:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.01%E -5.79%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 07:13
DraftKings🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.71%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 04:00
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.71%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 06:13
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.71%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 06:12
Pinnacle🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 26.97%EV -6.24%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.91%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.66%EV -1.31%E -0.353%K -0.484%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.32%EV -6.51%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -5.83%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 05:55
1xBet🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 26.63%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.63%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 09:49
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:39
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 15:49
Bet Right🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -9.13%E -4.71%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 14:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 14:04
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 18:33
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -12.41%E -6.64%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:04
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 17:34
BetUS🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 15:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -6.79%E -3.41%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 14:49
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -6.79%E -3.41%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 14:49
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 17:55
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 17:55
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 17:55
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 17:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 17:55
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 18:05
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.20%E -4.18%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 15:45
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -1.58%E -0.426%K -0.584%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 15:40
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 14:55
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 17:50
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 09:49
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 14:55
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.54%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 22:00
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.02%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.20%E -4.18%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.35%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -12.35%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.77%EV -9.13%E -4.71%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -12.35%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.77%EV -9.13%E -4.71%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-09-01 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-09-01 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-09-01 18:20
Matchbook◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-09-01 18:20
Smarkets◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-09-01 17:50