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Accrington Stanley v Grimsby Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Accrington Stanley (Local)
Predicción 26.56%3.77momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.467%
Kelly -0.640%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.49%26.51%26.60%27.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.483.453.7030.30%28.76%28.99%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Grimsby Town (Visitante)
Predicción 46.84%2.13momio equitativo
EV -3.98%
Ventaja -1.94%
Kelly -3.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.63%46.89%46.76%48.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.871.981.982.0553.48%50.39%50.51%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.60%3.76momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.353%
Kelly -0.484%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.09%26.60%26.64%27.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.453.403.7130.77%29.00%29.41%26.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Accrington Stanley (Local): 26.56%; Grimsby Town (Visitante): 46.84%; Empate: 26.60%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.76. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.71, con un valor esperado de -1.31%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.73%E -0.467%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.01%E -5.79%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 07:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.71%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 04:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.71%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 06:13 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.71%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 06:12 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.97%EV -6.24%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.91%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.66%EV -1.31%E -0.353%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.32%EV -6.51%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -5.83%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 05:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.63%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.63%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 09:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-01 15:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -9.13%E -4.71%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 14:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 14:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 18:33 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -12.41%E -6.64%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 17:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 15:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -6.79%E -3.41%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 14:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -6.79%E -3.41%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 14:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.20%E -4.18%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 15:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -1.58%E -0.426%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 17:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 09:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.54%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.02%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.20%E -4.18%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.35%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -12.35%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.77%EV -9.13%E -4.71%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -12.35%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.77%EV -9.13%E -4.71%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.41% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 1.4% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |