Language:English
Accrington Stanley v Fleetwood Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Accrington Stanley (Local)
Prediction 29.22%3.42fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.15%29.34%29.23%32.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.073.133.3035.71%32.60%32.00%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fleetwood Town (Visit)
Prediction 41.92%2.39fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.636%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.86%41.78%41.92%43.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.222.3547.62%44.59%45.05%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.86%3.46fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.04%28.88%28.85%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.193.203.3234.72%31.37%31.25%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Accrington Stanley (Local): 29.22%; Fleetwood Town (Visit): 41.92%; Draw: 28.86%. For Fleetwood Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -1.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.01%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.24%EV -5.27%E -2.33%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.75%EV -4.18%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 03:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 10:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 10:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 10:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 10:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 10:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 10:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.94%E -3.13%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.94%E -3.13%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 05:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.94%E -3.13%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 05:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.88%E -4.59%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 11:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 11:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 05:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.88%E -4.59%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.88%E -4.59%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 06:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 05:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.84%EV -6.94%E -3.13%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.84%EV -6.94%E -3.13%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.88%E -4.59%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-10 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 06:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 05:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.88%E -4.59%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-10 05:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -8.62%E -3.95%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 09:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.88%E -4.59%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 06:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -11.97%E -5.70%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -16.88%E -5.86%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-11 13:27 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.87%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 06:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 16:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 16:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.88%EV -2.33%E -1.00%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.88%EV -2.33%E -1.00%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.88%EV -2.33%E -1.00%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.12% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |