A Escola das Odds

Accrington Stanley v Fleetwood Town

Início: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Final: Accrington Stanley 1–2 Fleetwood Town

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Previsão 29.22%3.42odd justa
EV -3.57%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.15%29.34%29.23%32.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.073.133.3035.71%32.60%32.00%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fleetwood Town (Visitante)

Previsão 41.92%2.39odd justa
EV -1.49%
Vantagem -0.636%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.86%41.78%41.92%43.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.242.222.3547.62%44.59%45.05%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.86%3.46odd justa
EV -4.18%
Vantagem -1.26%
Kelly -1.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.04%28.88%28.85%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.193.203.3234.72%31.37%31.25%30.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:45
1xBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:50
Pinnacle3.29I 30.40%NM 29.01%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.24%EV -5.27%E -2.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.75%EV -4.18%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 03:35
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 12:00
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 10:35
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 10:09
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 10:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 10:35
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 10:35
Marathon Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.94%E -3.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:44
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.94%E -3.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 05:05
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.94%E -3.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 05:04
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.88%E -4.59%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 23:15
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:44
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:45
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 05:05
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.88%E -4.59%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:45
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.88%E -4.59%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:50
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 06:00
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 05:59
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.84%EV -6.94%E -3.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 06:00
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.84%EV -6.94%E -3.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 06:00
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.88%E -4.59%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 14:15
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 06:00
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 05:59
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 04:15
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 04:15
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 04:15
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 04:15
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.88%E -4.59%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 05:10
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -8.62%E -3.95%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 09:00
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.88%E -4.59%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 06:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -11.97%E -5.70%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -16.88%E -5.86%K -8.98%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-11 13:27
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.87%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 06:00
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:05
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:05
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:04
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:05
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:05
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:05
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:05
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:05
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:05
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:05
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.88%EV -2.33%E -1.00%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-09 16:05
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.88%EV -2.33%E -1.00%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-09 16:05
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.88%EV -2.33%E -1.00%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-09 16:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%3.2%2026-04-11 13:55