La scuola delle quote

Accrington Stanley v Fleetwood Town

Inizio: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Finale: Accrington Stanley 1–2 Fleetwood Town

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Accrington Stanley (Casa)

Previsione 29.22%3.42quota equa
EV -3.57%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.15%29.34%29.23%32.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.073.133.3035.71%32.60%32.00%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fleetwood Town (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.92%2.39quota equa
EV -1.49%
Vantaggio -0.636%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.86%41.78%41.92%43.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.242.222.3547.62%44.59%45.05%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.86%3.46quota equa
EV -4.18%
Vantaggio -1.26%
Kelly -1.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.04%28.88%28.85%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.193.203.3234.72%31.37%31.25%30.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:45
1xBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:50
Pinnacle3.29I 30.40%NM 29.01%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.24%EV -5.27%E -2.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.75%EV -4.18%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 03:35
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 12:00
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 10:35
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 10:09
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 10:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 10:35
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 10:35
Marathon Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.94%E -3.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:44
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.94%E -3.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 05:05
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.94%E -3.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 05:04
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.88%E -4.59%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 23:15
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:44
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:45
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 05:05
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.88%E -4.59%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:45
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.88%E -4.59%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:50
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 06:00
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 05:59
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.84%EV -6.94%E -3.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 06:00
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.84%EV -6.94%E -3.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 06:00
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.88%E -4.59%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 14:15
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 06:00
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 05:59
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 04:15
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 04:15
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 04:15
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 04:15
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.88%E -4.59%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 05:10
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -8.62%E -3.95%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 09:00
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.88%E -4.59%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 06:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -11.97%E -5.70%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -16.88%E -5.86%K -8.98%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-11 13:27
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.87%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -5.69%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 06:00
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:05
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:05
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:04
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:05
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:05
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:05
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:05
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:05
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:05
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -1.49%E -0.636%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:05
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.88%EV -2.33%E -1.00%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-09 16:05
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.88%EV -2.33%E -1.00%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-09 16:05
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -18.18%E -6.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.88%EV -2.33%E -1.00%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-09 16:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%3.2%2026-04-11 13:55