StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Accrington Stanley v Crawley Town

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Accrington Stanley 3–2 Crawley Town

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Accrington Stanley (Hemma)

Prognos 46.52%2.15rättvist odds
EV -4.16%
Fördel -2.02%
Kelly -3.92%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.06

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.21%46.47%46.60%47.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.912.012.002.0652.36%49.86%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Crawley Town (Borta)

Prognos 27.07%3.69rättvist odds
EV -3.90%
Fördel -1.10%
Kelly -1.53%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.22%27.13%27.09%28.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.383.403.5531.25%29.62%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.40%3.79rättvist odds
EV +0.339%
Fördel +0.089%
Kelly +0.121%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.57%26.41%26.31%27.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.483.483.8030.30%28.70%28.74%26.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Accrington Stanley (Hemma): 46.52%; Crawley Town (Borta): 27.07%; Oavgjort: 26.40%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.79. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.80, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.339%.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV +0.339%E +0.089%K +0.121%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.30%E -0.622%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 11:35
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.94%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -3.62%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:15
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 05:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:55
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 20:40
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:04
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:03
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -5.56%E -2.74%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 21:40
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 12:50
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 14:55
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.42%E -3.73%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.42%E -3.73%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 00:30
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 12:55
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 21:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.21%E -5.29%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 20:34
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 14:53
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 14:55
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.33%EV -6.49%E -3.23%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.91%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.76%EV -8.11%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 12:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.54%EV -7.42%E -3.73%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.61%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -8.11%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 13:30
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:24
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:25
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:24
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:24
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:25
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.61%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.61%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 14:05
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 21:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -8.35%E -4.24%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 00:35
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-01 20:55
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.14%E -5.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 14:59
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.54%E -3.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 21:25
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 13:04
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 13:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 13:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.39%EV -8.35%E -4.24%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-02 21:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.32%EV -8.81%E -4.50%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-02 21:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.32%EV -8.81%E -4.50%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-02 21:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-09-04 14:05
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%3.6%2026-09-04 14:15
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%5.6%2026-09-04 14:05