Idioma:Español
Accrington Stanley v Crawley Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Accrington Stanley (Local)
Predicción 46.52%2.15momio equitativo
EV -4.16%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -3.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.21%46.47%46.60%47.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.912.012.002.0652.36%49.86%50.00%48.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Crawley Town (Visitante)
Predicción 27.07%3.69momio equitativo
EV -3.90%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.22%27.13%27.09%28.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.383.403.5531.25%29.62%29.41%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.40%3.79momio equitativo
EV +0.339%
Ventaja +0.089%
Kelly +0.121%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.57%26.41%26.31%27.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.483.483.8030.30%28.70%28.74%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Accrington Stanley (Local): 46.52%; Crawley Town (Visitante): 27.07%; Empate: 26.40%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.79. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.339%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV +0.339%E +0.089%K +0.121%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.30%E -0.622%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.94%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -3.62%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 05:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:03 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -5.56%E -2.74%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 12:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.42%E -3.73%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.42%E -3.73%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 00:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 12:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 12:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.21%E -5.29%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 20:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 14:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.33%EV -6.49%E -3.23%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.91%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.76%EV -8.11%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 12:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.54%EV -7.42%E -3.73%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.61%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -8.11%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.61%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.61%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 21:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -8.35%E -4.24%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 00:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-01 20:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.14%E -5.83%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-02 14:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.54%E -3.45%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 13:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.39%EV -8.35%E -4.24%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-02 21:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.32%EV -8.81%E -4.50%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.32%EV -8.81%E -4.50%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.55% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |