Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Accrington Stanley v Crawley Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Score final : Accrington Stanley 3–2 Crawley Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Prévision 46.52%2.15cote équitable
EV -4.16%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -3.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.21%46.47%46.60%47.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.012.002.0652.36%49.86%50.00%48.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Crawley Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.07%3.69cote équitable
EV -3.90%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.22%27.13%27.09%28.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.383.403.5531.25%29.62%29.41%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.40%3.79cote équitable
EV +0.339%
Avantage +0.089%
Kelly +0.121%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.57%26.41%26.31%27.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.483.483.8030.30%28.70%28.74%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Accrington Stanley (Local) : 46.52% ; Crawley Town (Visiteur) : 27.07% ; Match nul : 26.40%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.79. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.80, soit une espérance positive de +0.339%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV +0.339%E +0.089%K +0.121%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.30%E -0.622%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 11:35
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.94%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -3.62%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:15
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 05:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:55
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 20:40
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:04
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:03
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -5.56%E -2.74%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 21:40
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 12:50
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 14:55
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.42%E -3.73%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.42%E -3.73%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 00:30
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 12:55
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 21:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.21%E -5.29%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 20:34
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 14:53
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 14:55
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.33%EV -6.49%E -3.23%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.91%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.76%EV -8.11%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 12:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.54%EV -7.42%E -3.73%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.61%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -8.11%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 13:30
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:24
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:25
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:24
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:24
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.16%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:25
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.61%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.61%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 14:05
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 21:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -8.35%E -4.24%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 00:35
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-01 20:55
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.14%E -5.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 14:59
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.54%E -3.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 21:25
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 13:04
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 13:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 13:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.95%E -3.48%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.39%EV -8.35%E -4.24%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-02 21:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.32%EV -8.81%E -4.50%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-02 21:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.32%EV -8.81%E -4.50%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-02 21:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-09-04 14:05
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%3.6%2026-09-04 14:15
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%5.6%2026-09-04 14:05