Language:English
Accrington Stanley v Colchester United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Accrington Stanley (Local)
Prediction 32.45%3.08fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.448%
Kelly -0.667%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.42%32.57%32.44%34.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.792.833.0439.22%35.80%35.40%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Colchester United (Visit)
Prediction 38.23%2.62fair odd
EV -0.598%
Edge -0.230%
Kelly -0.374%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.36%38.09%38.24%38.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.472.452.6042.55%40.43%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.32%3.41fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -0.982%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.19%29.34%29.32%30.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.143.133.3033.90%31.84%32.00%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Accrington Stanley (Local): 32.45%; Colchester United (Visit): 38.23%; Draw: 29.32%. For Colchester United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -0.598%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.42%EV -1.36%E -0.448%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.83%EV -5.95%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.75%EV -5.88%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -4.28%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 13:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 13:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 13:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 13:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 13:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -6.55%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.09%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.24%E -0.982%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 13:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.55%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 13:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.55%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 13:42 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.55%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -6.55%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.55%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.56%EV -6.88%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.30%EV -6.47%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -2.51%E -0.984%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -2.51%E -0.984%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -2.51%E -0.984%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 08:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.24%E -0.982%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.24%E -0.982%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.21%EV -7.48%E -3.09%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.21%EV -7.48%E -3.09%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.24%E -0.982%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -9.01%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 13:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -10.16%E -4.32%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 11:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 13:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -9.01%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 13:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -12.39%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -10.16%E -4.32%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 13:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 13:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -17.26%E -6.77%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -17.26%E -6.77%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75% | 1.8% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |