The School of Odds

Accrington Stanley v Colchester United

2026-08-15 14:00 — League 2

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Accrington Stanley (Local)

Odds
2.5040.00%Min
2.5738.94%Mean
2.5539.22%Median
2.6537.74%Max
Consensus probabilities
35.06%2.853Min
36.09%2.771Max
35.27%2.835Mean
35.25%2.837Median
35.26%2.836IQM
35.26%2.836Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.65 under the IQM model: 35.26%

EV -6.55%Edge -2.47%Kelly -3.97%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Colchester United (Visit)

Odds
2.4041.67%Min
2.5040.01%Mean
2.4840.32%Median
2.6238.17%Max
Consensus probabilities
35.91%2.785Min
36.90%2.710Max
36.41%2.747Mean
36.25%2.759Median
36.31%2.754IQM
36.38%2.749Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.62 under the IQM model: 36.31%

EV -4.88%Edge -1.86%Kelly -3.01%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.1032.26%Min
3.2031.27%Mean
3.1531.75%Median
3.4029.41%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.67%3.614Min
28.63%3.493Max
28.32%3.531Mean
28.50%3.509Median
28.43%3.517IQM
28.36%3.526Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.40 under the IQM model: 28.43%

EV -3.34%Edge -0.981%Kelly -1.39%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

BookmakerAccrington Stanley (Local) ▼Colchester United (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74% NM 35.73%EV -6.55% E -2.47% K -3.97% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.42%EV -5.60% E -2.16% K -3.50% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.85%EV -3.34% E -0.981% K -1.39% G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 05:49
1xBet2.64I 37.88% NM 35.14%EV -6.90% E -2.62% K -4.21% G +0.000%2.56I 39.06% NM 36.23%EV -7.06% E -2.76% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.24I 30.86% NM 28.63%EV -7.88% E -2.43% K -3.52% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 03:05
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88% NM 35.14%EV -6.90% E -2.62% K -4.21% G +0.000%2.56I 39.06% NM 36.23%EV -7.06% E -2.76% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.24I 30.86% NM 28.63%EV -7.88% E -2.43% K -3.52% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 03:04
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17% NM 36.09%EV -7.61% E -2.90% K -4.70% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 36.09%EV -4.88% E -1.86% K -3.01% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.81%EV -3.34% E -0.981% K -1.39% G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 05:40
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46% NM 35.36%EV -8.32% E -3.20% K -5.20% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.78%EV -9.24% E -3.69% K -6.16% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.86%EV -6.18% E -1.87% K -2.69% G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 05:48
William Hill2.60I 38.46% NM 35.06%EV -8.32% E -3.20% K -5.20% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.46%EV -9.24% E -3.69% K -6.16% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.48%EV -9.02% E -2.82% K -4.10% G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport2.60I 38.46% NM 35.06%EV -8.32% E -3.20% K -5.20% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.46%EV -9.24% E -3.69% K -6.16% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.48%EV -9.02% E -2.82% K -4.10% G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46% NM 35.06%EV -8.32% E -3.20% K -5.20% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.46%EV -9.24% E -3.69% K -6.16% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.48%EV -9.02% E -2.82% K -4.10% G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46% NM 35.06%EV -8.32% E -3.20% K -5.20% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.46%EV -9.24% E -3.69% K -6.16% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.48%EV -9.02% E -2.82% K -4.10% G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 23:39
Bet Right2.55I 39.22% NM 35.91%EV -10.08% E -3.95% K -6.50% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 35.91%EV -7.42% E -2.91% K -4.79% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.18%EV -7.60% E -2.34% K -3.38% G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 05:39
SportsBet2.55I 39.22% NM 35.81%EV -10.08% E -3.95% K -6.50% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.52%EV -9.24% E -3.69% K -6.16% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.67%EV -6.18% E -1.87% K -2.69% G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 05:39
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22% NM 35.50%EV -10.08% E -3.95% K -6.50% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.21%EV -9.24% E -3.69% K -6.16% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.29%EV -9.02% E -2.82% K -4.10% G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 05:40
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22% NM 35.34%EV -10.08% E -3.95% K -6.50% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.05%EV -9.24% E -3.69% K -6.16% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.61%EV -10.44% E -3.32% K -4.86% G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-02 10:19
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22% NM 35.24%EV -10.08% E -3.95% K -6.50% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 36.23%EV -9.96% E -4.02% K -6.73% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.53%EV -10.44% E -3.32% K -4.86% G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 05:49
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22% NM 35.24%EV -10.08% E -3.95% K -6.50% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 36.23%EV -9.96% E -4.02% K -6.73% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.53%EV -10.44% E -3.32% K -4.86% G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 05:49
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22% NM 35.24%EV -10.08% E -3.95% K -6.50% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 36.23%EV -9.96% E -4.02% K -6.73% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.53%EV -10.44% E -3.32% K -4.86% G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22% NM 35.24%EV -10.08% E -3.95% K -6.50% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 36.23%EV -9.96% E -4.02% K -6.73% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.53%EV -10.44% E -3.32% K -4.86% G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22% NM 35.24%EV -10.08% E -3.95% K -6.50% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 36.23%EV -9.96% E -4.02% K -6.73% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.53%EV -10.44% E -3.32% K -4.86% G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22% NM 35.24%EV -10.08% E -3.95% K -6.50% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 36.23%EV -9.96% E -4.02% K -6.73% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.53%EV -10.44% E -3.32% K -4.86% G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22% NM 35.24%EV -10.08% E -3.95% K -6.50% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 36.23%EV -9.96% E -4.02% K -6.73% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.53%EV -10.44% E -3.32% K -4.86% G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo2.55I 39.22% NM 35.24%EV -10.08% E -3.95% K -6.50% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 36.23%EV -9.96% E -4.02% K -6.73% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.53%EV -10.44% E -3.32% K -4.86% G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch2.55I 39.22% NM 35.24%EV -10.08% E -3.95% K -6.50% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 36.23%EV -9.96% E -4.02% K -6.73% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.53%EV -10.44% E -3.32% K -4.86% G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet2.55I 39.22% NM 35.24%EV -10.08% E -3.95% K -6.50% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 36.23%EV -9.96% E -4.02% K -6.73% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.53%EV -10.44% E -3.32% K -4.86% G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers2.55I 39.22% NM 35.24%EV -10.08% E -3.95% K -6.50% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 36.23%EV -9.96% E -4.02% K -6.73% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.53%EV -10.44% E -3.32% K -4.86% G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX2.55I 39.22% NM 35.24%EV -10.08% E -3.95% K -6.50% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 36.23%EV -9.96% E -4.02% K -6.73% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.53%EV -10.44% E -3.32% K -4.86% G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22% NM 35.24%EV -10.08% E -3.95% K -6.50% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 36.23%EV -9.96% E -4.02% K -6.73% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.53%EV -10.44% E -3.32% K -4.86% G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 11:29
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00% NM 35.42%EV -11.84% E -4.74% K -7.89% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 36.90%EV -12.87% E -5.36% K -9.19% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.68%EV -9.02% E -2.82% K -4.10% G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-30 05:40
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00% NM 35.37%EV -11.84% E -4.74% K -7.89% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 36.10%EV -11.05% E -4.51% K -7.62% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.53%EV -11.86% E -3.83% K -5.65% G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-30 05:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00% NM 34.37%EV -11.84% E -4.74% K -7.89% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 35.80%EV -12.87% E -5.36% K -9.19% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 29.83%EV -18.12% E -6.29% K -9.64% G +0.000%16.4%2026-06-30 05:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerAccrington Stanley (Local)Colchester United (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-30 15:19