Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Accrington Stanley v Colchester United

Início: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Final: Accrington Stanley 2–2 Colchester United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Previsão 32.45%3.08odd justa
EV -1.36%
Vantagem -0.448%
Kelly -0.667%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.42%32.57%32.44%34.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.792.833.0439.22%35.80%35.40%32.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Colchester United (Visitante)

Previsão 38.23%2.62odd justa
EV -0.598%
Vantagem -0.230%
Kelly -0.374%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.36%38.09%38.24%38.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.472.452.6042.55%40.43%40.82%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.32%3.41odd justa
EV -3.24%
Vantagem -0.982%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.19%29.34%29.32%30.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.143.133.3033.90%31.84%32.00%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Accrington Stanley (Local): 32.45%; Colchester United (Visitante): 38.23%; Empate: 29.32%. Para Colchester United (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.62. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.60, com valor esperado de -0.598%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.42%EV -1.36%E -0.448%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.83%EV -5.95%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.75%EV -5.88%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 13:15
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -4.28%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 13:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:19
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 13:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:19
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:09
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:09
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -6.55%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.09%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.24%E -0.982%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 13:30
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.55%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:43
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.55%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:42
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.55%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:39
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -6.55%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.55%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:50
1xBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.56%EV -6.88%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.30%EV -6.47%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -2.51%E -0.984%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 08:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -2.51%E -0.984%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 08:20
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -2.51%E -0.984%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 08:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.24%E -0.982%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:30
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.24%E -0.982%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:29
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.21%EV -7.48%E -3.09%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:15
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.21%EV -7.48%E -3.09%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:14
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:09
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:39
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.24%E -0.982%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 11:20
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -9.01%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 13:19
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -10.16%E -4.32%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 13:15
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 11:20
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 11:19
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:54
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 13:19
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -9.01%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 13:24
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -12.39%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -10.16%E -4.32%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 11:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:14
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:15
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:15
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:15
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:15
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:15
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -17.26%E -6.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -17.26%E -6.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 13:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-08-15 13:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-08-15 13:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-08-15 13:39
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-08-15 13:40
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%1.8%2026-08-15 13:45