La escuela de los momios

Accrington Stanley v Colchester United

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 2

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Predicción 35.22%2.84momio equitativo
EV -4.91%
Ventaja -1.82%
Kelly -2.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.92%35.29%35.21%36.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.592.602.7040.00%38.62%38.46%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Colchester United (Visitante)

Predicción 36.32%2.75momio equitativo
EV -4.84%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -2.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.74%36.34%36.29%36.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.522.502.6241.67%39.71%40.00%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.46%3.51momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -0.952%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.47%28.36%28.50%29.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.213.203.4032.26%31.12%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.91%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 15:43
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.91%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 18:25
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.61%E -2.09%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -6.29%E -2.44%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -7.51%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 12:19
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.61%E -2.09%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -6.29%E -2.44%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -7.51%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 12:20
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.67%E -2.52%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.24%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 05:49
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.67%E -2.52%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -7.38%E -2.90%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.51%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.67%E -2.52%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -7.38%E -2.90%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.51%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 15:50
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.67%E -2.52%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -7.38%E -2.90%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.51%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 18:04
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.14%EV -7.02%E -2.66%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.23%EV -7.02%E -2.74%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 12:34
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.14%EV -7.02%E -2.66%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.23%EV -7.02%E -2.74%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -7.37%E -2.80%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 07:50
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -7.72%E -2.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -4.84%E -1.85%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.24%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 05:40
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -7.38%E -2.90%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -7.51%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 16:35
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 05:48
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 12:55
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.38%E -2.90%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 08:34
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 23:39
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-16 18:45
betano_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.05%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -7.38%E -2.90%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.21%EV -11.21%E -3.59%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-13 08:59
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.05%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -7.38%E -2.90%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.21%EV -11.21%E -3.59%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-13 08:59
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.38%E -2.90%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.51%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 05:39
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 05:39
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 05:40
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-22 16:00
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -9.93%E -4.00%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 05:49
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -9.93%E -4.00%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 05:49
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -9.93%E -4.00%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -9.93%E -4.00%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -9.93%E -4.00%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -9.93%E -4.00%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -9.93%E -4.00%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -9.93%E -4.00%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -9.93%E -4.00%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -9.93%E -4.00%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -9.93%E -4.00%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -9.93%E -4.00%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -9.93%E -4.00%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 11:29
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 20:19
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.83%E -5.35%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-30 05:40
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.02%E -4.50%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-30 05:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%12.4%2026-07-08 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:19