Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Accrington Stanley v Colchester United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Score final : Accrington Stanley 2–2 Colchester United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Prévision 32.45%3.08cote équitable
EV -1.36%
Avantage -0.448%
Kelly -0.667%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.42%32.57%32.44%34.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.792.833.0439.22%35.80%35.40%32.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Colchester United (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.23%2.62cote équitable
EV -0.598%
Avantage -0.230%
Kelly -0.374%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.36%38.09%38.24%38.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.472.452.6042.55%40.43%40.82%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.32%3.41cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -0.982%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.19%29.34%29.32%30.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.143.133.3033.90%31.84%32.00%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Accrington Stanley (Local) : 32.45% ; Colchester United (Visiteur) : 38.23% ; Match nul : 29.32%. Pour Colchester United (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.62. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.60, pour une espérance de -0.598% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.42%EV -1.36%E -0.448%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.83%EV -5.95%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.75%EV -5.88%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 13:15
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -4.28%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 13:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:19
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 13:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:19
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:09
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.90%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:09
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -6.55%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.09%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.24%E -0.982%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 13:30
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.55%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:43
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.55%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:42
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.55%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:39
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -6.55%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.55%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:50
1xBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.56%EV -6.88%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.30%EV -6.47%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -2.51%E -0.984%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 08:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -2.51%E -0.984%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 08:20
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -2.51%E -0.984%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 08:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.24%E -0.982%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:30
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.24%E -0.982%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:29
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.21%EV -7.48%E -3.09%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:15
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.21%EV -7.48%E -3.09%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:14
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:09
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:39
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.24%E -0.982%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 11:20
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -9.01%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 13:19
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -10.16%E -4.32%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 13:15
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 11:20
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 11:19
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:54
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.24%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 13:19
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -9.01%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 13:24
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -12.39%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -10.16%E -4.32%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 11:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:14
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:15
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:15
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:15
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:15
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:15
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.01%E -5.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.598%E -0.230%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -17.26%E -6.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -17.26%E -6.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -4.42%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 13:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-08-15 13:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-08-15 13:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-08-15 13:39
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-08-15 13:40
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%1.8%2026-08-15 13:45