Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wimbledon v Doncaster Rovers

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Final: Wimbledon 1–0 Doncaster Rovers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wimbledon (Local)

Prediction 35.91%2.78fair odd
EV -4.85%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.36%36.08%35.87%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.522.552.6542.92%39.65%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Doncaster Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 36.35%2.75fair odd
EV +4.69%
Edge +1.63%
Kelly +2.49%
Growth +0.117%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.70%36.13%36.33%37.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.612.552.8840.82%38.25%39.22%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.74%3.60fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -0.828%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.51%27.80%27.80%28.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.313.303.5031.75%30.19%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wimbledon (Local): 35.91%; Doncaster Rovers (Visit): 36.35%; Draw: 27.74%. For Doncaster Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.69%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -12.75%E -5.25%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +4.69%E +1.63%K +2.49%G +0.117%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -12.75%E -5.25%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +4.69%E +1.63%K +2.49%G +0.117%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 00:30
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -12.75%E -5.25%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +4.69%E +1.63%K +2.49%G +0.117%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -12.75%E -5.25%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +4.69%E +1.63%K +2.49%G +0.117%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 00:29
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -12.75%E -5.25%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +4.69%E +1.63%K +2.49%G +0.117%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 00:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -12.75%E -5.25%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +4.69%E +1.63%K +2.49%G +0.117%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 00:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -12.75%E -5.25%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +4.69%E +1.63%K +2.49%G +0.117%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 00:29
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -15.62%E -6.65%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -0.038%E -0.014%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -12.61%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -15.62%E -6.65%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -0.038%E -0.014%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -12.61%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -15.62%E -6.65%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -0.038%E -0.014%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -12.61%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -15.62%E -6.65%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -0.038%E -0.014%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -12.61%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.66%EV -16.34%E -7.01%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -0.038%E -0.014%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -12.61%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.66%EV -16.34%E -7.01%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -0.038%E -0.014%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -12.61%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-05 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.51%EV -8.80%E -3.46%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.39%EV -4.76%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:40
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -5.92%E -2.26%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -2.90%E -0.828%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 10:35
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.20%EV -5.92%E -2.26%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.33%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 19:15
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.92%E -2.26%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.92%E -2.26%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 08:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.41%EV -8.80%E -3.46%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.57%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 14:10
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.74%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.16%EV -6.22%E -2.41%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -7.89%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 08:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.74%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.16%EV -6.22%E -2.41%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -7.89%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 08:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.85%E -1.83%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 10:35
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 14:05
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.06%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.06%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 11:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 08:00
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 11:35
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.06%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 07:39
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 08:00
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 09:00
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 21:10
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 21:05
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 09:10
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 08:38
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 08:35
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -2.90%E -0.828%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 21:45
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.90%E -0.828%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 21:48
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 21:55
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 14:05
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 08:39
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.83%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 22:30
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 22:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.46%EV -9.49%E -3.81%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.83%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.94%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.64I 37.88%NM 36.00%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%5.2%2026-09-09 16:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 35.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%6.1%2026-09-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 35.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%6.1%2026-09-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 35.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%6.1%2026-09-09 14:20
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 35.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%6.5%2026-09-09 16:41