The School of Odds
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Wimbledon v Doncaster Rovers

2026-09-12 14:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wimbledon (Local)

Prediction 36.57%2.73fair odd
EV -4.93%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -3.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.32%36.71%36.49%38.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.472.442.6042.92%40.51%40.98%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Doncaster Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 35.32%2.83fair odd
EV +0.668%
Edge +0.234%
Kelly +0.361%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.75%35.14%35.38%36.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.492.692.672.8540.16%37.18%37.38%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.11%3.56fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.460%
Kelly -0.645%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.95%28.15%28.13%29.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.263.293.5032.26%30.63%30.40%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Wimbledon (Local): 36.57%; Doncaster Rovers (Visit): 35.32%; Draw: 28.11%. For Doncaster Rovers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.85, producing a positive expected value of +0.668%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.61%E -0.460%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -14.07%E -5.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -14.07%E -5.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -14.07%E -5.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -14.07%E -5.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.66%EV -14.80%E -6.35%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.66%EV -14.80%E -6.35%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.61%E -0.460%K -0.645%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -3.02%E -0.875%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.24%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -12.24%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-05 23:04
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -7.81%E -2.99%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.80%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -7.81%E -2.99%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.80%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.93%E -3.89%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -9.93%E -3.89%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-05 23:04
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -12.97%E -5.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.46%EV -12.05%E -4.84%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-05 23:05