Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wimbledon v Doncaster Rovers

2026-09-12 14:00 UTC — League 1

Frente a frente

32 casas de apostas (8 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wimbledon (Local)

Previsão 36.57%2.73odd justa
EV -4.93%
Vantagem -1.89%
Kelly -3.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.32%36.71%36.49%38.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.332.472.442.6042.92%40.51%40.98%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Doncaster Rovers (Visitante)

Previsão 35.32%2.83odd justa
EV +0.668%
Vantagem +0.234%
Kelly +0.361%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.75%35.14%35.38%36.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.492.692.672.8540.16%37.18%37.38%35.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.11%3.56odd justa
EV -1.61%
Vantagem -0.460%
Kelly -0.645%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.95%28.15%28.13%29.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.263.293.5032.26%30.63%30.40%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Wimbledon (Local): 36.57%; Doncaster Rovers (Visitante): 35.32%; Empate: 28.11%. Para Doncaster Rovers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.83. 7 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.85, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.668%.

Odds das casas de apostas (32 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.61%E -0.460%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -14.07%E -5.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -14.07%E -5.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -14.07%E -5.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -14.07%E -5.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.66%EV -14.80%E -6.35%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.66%EV -14.80%E -6.35%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.61%E -0.460%K -0.645%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -3.02%E -0.875%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.24%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -12.24%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-05 23:04
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -7.81%E -2.99%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.80%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -7.81%E -2.99%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.80%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.93%E -3.89%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -9.93%E -3.89%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-05 23:04
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -12.97%E -5.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.46%EV -12.05%E -4.84%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-05 23:05