Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wimbledon v Doncaster Rovers

Início: 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Final: Wimbledon 1–0 Doncaster Rovers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wimbledon (Local)

Previsão 35.91%2.78odd justa
EV -4.85%
Vantagem -1.83%
Kelly -2.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.36%36.08%35.87%38.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.332.522.552.6542.92%39.65%39.22%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Doncaster Rovers (Visitante)

Previsão 36.35%2.75odd justa
EV +4.69%
Vantagem +1.63%
Kelly +2.49%
Crescimento +0.117%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.70%36.13%36.33%37.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.612.552.8840.82%38.25%39.22%34.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.74%3.60odd justa
EV -2.90%
Vantagem -0.828%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.51%27.80%27.80%28.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.313.303.5031.75%30.19%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Wimbledon (Local): 35.91%; Doncaster Rovers (Visitante): 36.35%; Empate: 27.74%. Para Doncaster Rovers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.75. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.88, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.69%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -12.75%E -5.25%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +4.69%E +1.63%K +2.49%G +0.117%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -12.75%E -5.25%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +4.69%E +1.63%K +2.49%G +0.117%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 00:30
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -12.75%E -5.25%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +4.69%E +1.63%K +2.49%G +0.117%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -12.75%E -5.25%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +4.69%E +1.63%K +2.49%G +0.117%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 00:29
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -12.75%E -5.25%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +4.69%E +1.63%K +2.49%G +0.117%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 00:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -12.75%E -5.25%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +4.69%E +1.63%K +2.49%G +0.117%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 00:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -12.75%E -5.25%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +4.69%E +1.63%K +2.49%G +0.117%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 00:29
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -15.62%E -6.65%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -0.038%E -0.014%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -12.61%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -15.62%E -6.65%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -0.038%E -0.014%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -12.61%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -15.62%E -6.65%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -0.038%E -0.014%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -12.61%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -15.62%E -6.65%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -0.038%E -0.014%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -12.61%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.66%EV -16.34%E -7.01%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -0.038%E -0.014%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -12.61%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.66%EV -16.34%E -7.01%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -0.038%E -0.014%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -12.61%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-05 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.51%EV -8.80%E -3.46%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.39%EV -4.76%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:40
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -5.92%E -2.26%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -2.90%E -0.828%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 10:35
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.20%EV -5.92%E -2.26%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.33%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 19:15
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.92%E -2.26%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.92%E -2.26%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 08:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.41%EV -8.80%E -3.46%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.57%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 14:10
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.74%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.16%EV -6.22%E -2.41%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -7.89%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 08:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.74%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.16%EV -6.22%E -2.41%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -7.89%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 08:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.85%E -1.83%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 10:35
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 14:05
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.06%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.06%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 11:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 08:00
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 11:35
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.06%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 07:39
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 08:00
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 09:00
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 21:10
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 21:05
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 09:10
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 08:38
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 08:35
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -2.90%E -0.828%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 21:45
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.90%E -0.828%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 21:48
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 21:55
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 14:05
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 08:39
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.83%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 22:30
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 22:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.46%EV -9.49%E -3.81%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.83%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.94%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 11:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.64I 37.88%NM 36.00%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%5.2%2026-09-09 16:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 35.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%6.1%2026-09-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 35.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%6.1%2026-09-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 35.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%6.1%2026-09-09 14:20
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 35.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%6.5%2026-09-09 16:41