Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wimbledon v Doncaster Rovers

2026-09-12 14:00 UTC — League 1

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wimbledon (Local)

Prévision 36.57%2.73cote équitable
EV -4.93%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -3.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.32%36.71%36.49%38.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.332.472.442.6042.92%40.51%40.98%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Doncaster Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.32%2.83cote équitable
EV +0.668%
Avantage +0.234%
Kelly +0.361%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.75%35.14%35.38%36.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.492.692.672.8540.16%37.18%37.38%35.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.11%3.56cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.460%
Kelly -0.645%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.95%28.15%28.13%29.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.263.293.5032.26%30.63%30.40%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Wimbledon (Local) : 36.57% ; Doncaster Rovers (Visiteur) : 35.32% ; Match nul : 28.11%. Pour Doncaster Rovers (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.83. 7 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.85, pour une espérance positive de +0.668%.

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -11.14%E -4.59%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +0.668%E +0.234%K +0.361%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.61%E -0.460%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -14.07%E -5.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -14.07%E -5.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -14.07%E -5.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -14.07%E -5.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.66%EV -14.80%E -6.35%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.66%EV -14.80%E -6.35%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.61%E -0.460%K -0.645%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -3.02%E -0.875%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.24%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -12.24%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-05 23:04
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -7.81%E -2.99%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.80%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -7.81%E -2.99%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.80%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.93%E -3.89%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -9.93%E -3.89%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-05 23:04
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -12.97%E -5.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.46%EV -12.05%E -4.84%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-05 23:05