Language:English
Stevenage v Wigan Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Stevenage (Local)
Prediction 60.31%1.66fair odd
EV -5.31%
Edge -3.38%
Kelly -9.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.93%60.38%60.32%62.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.541.541.5768.97%65.06%64.94%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wigan Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 15.64%6.39fair odd
EV +1.67%
Edge +0.257%
Kelly +0.304%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.37%15.61%15.61%16.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.505.996.006.5018.18%16.70%16.67%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.05%4.16fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -0.857%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.01%24.02%24.07%24.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.853.834.0527.40%25.94%26.14%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stevenage (Local): 60.31%; Wigan Athletic (Visit): 15.64%; Draw: 24.05%. For Wigan Athletic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.39. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.67%E +0.257%K +0.304%G +0.005% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.80%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.80%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.80%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.98%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.98%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.39I 15.65%NM 14.80%EV -0.051%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.40%EV -2.85%E -0.707%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.70%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.70%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.35%EV -12.55%E -8.65%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.89%EV -4.59%E -0.752%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.89%EV -4.59%E -0.752%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.21%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.67%EV -6.93%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -2.61%E -0.645%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.72%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -5.02%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:41 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.72%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -5.02%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.11%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.11%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.48%EV -11.16%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.12%EV -2.61%E -0.645%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -12.41%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -12.41%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.93%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -12.41%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -12.23%E -3.35%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.65%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.72% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.17% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 1.8% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.17% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 1.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.75% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.88% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38% | 1.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |