La scuola delle quote

Stevenage v Wigan Athletic

Inizio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Finale: Stevenage 1–0 Wigan Athletic

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Stevenage (Casa)

Previsione 60.31%1.66quota equa
EV -5.31%
Vantaggio -3.38%
Kelly -9.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.93%60.38%60.32%62.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.541.541.5768.97%65.06%64.94%63.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Wigan Athletic (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.64%6.39quota equa
EV +1.67%
Vantaggio +0.257%
Kelly +0.304%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.37%15.61%15.61%16.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.505.996.006.5018.18%16.70%16.67%15.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.05%4.16quota equa
EV -2.61%
Vantaggio -0.645%
Kelly -0.857%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.01%24.02%24.07%24.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.653.853.834.0527.40%25.94%26.14%24.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.67%E +0.257%K +0.304%G +0.005%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 60.80%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:25
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.80%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:25
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 60.80%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:25
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 61.98%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 61.98%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.39I 15.65%NM 14.80%EV -0.051%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.40%EV -2.85%E -0.707%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.70%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:25
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 60.70%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:25
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.35%EV -12.55%E -8.65%K -27.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 13:54
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.89%EV -4.59%E -0.752%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:25
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.89%EV -4.59%E -0.752%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:25
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:34
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:15
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.21%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:34
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:35
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:55
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:40
PointsBet (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:35
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:40
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:35
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:10
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.67%EV -6.93%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -2.61%E -0.645%K -0.857%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.72%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -5.02%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:41
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.72%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -5.02%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:40
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:35
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:25
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:34
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.11%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:53
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 60.11%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:35
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:56
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:55
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.48%EV -11.16%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.12%EV -2.61%E -0.645%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -12.41%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -12.41%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.93%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -12.41%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -12.23%E -3.35%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:40
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:19
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:20
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 59.65%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.72%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.17%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%1.8%2026-05-02 13:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.17%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%1.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.75%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.9%2026-05-02 13:55