La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Stevenage v Wigan Athletic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Stevenage (Local)
Predicción 60.31%1.66momio equitativo
EV -5.31%
Ventaja -3.38%
Kelly -9.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.93%60.38%60.32%62.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.541.541.5768.97%65.06%64.94%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wigan Athletic (Visitante)
Predicción 15.64%6.39momio equitativo
EV +1.67%
Ventaja +0.257%
Kelly +0.304%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.37%15.61%15.61%16.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.505.996.006.5018.18%16.70%16.67%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.05%4.16momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -0.645%
Kelly -0.857%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.01%24.02%24.07%24.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.653.853.834.0527.40%25.94%26.14%24.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.67%E +0.257%K +0.304%G +0.005% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.80%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.80%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.80%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.98%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.98%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.39I 15.65%NM 14.80%EV -0.051%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.40%EV -2.85%E -0.707%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Casumo | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| betPARX | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.70%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.70%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.35%EV -12.55%E -8.65%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.89%EV -4.59%E -0.752%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.89%EV -4.59%E -0.752%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.21%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| William Hill | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.67%EV -6.93%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -2.61%E -0.645%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.72%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -5.02%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:41 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.72%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -5.02%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| Bovada | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.11%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:53 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.11%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.48%EV -11.16%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.12%EV -2.61%E -0.645%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -12.41%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -12.41%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.93%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -12.41%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -12.23%E -3.35%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.65%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.72% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.17% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 1.8% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.17% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 1.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.75% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.88% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38% | 1.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |