Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Stevenage v Wigan Athletic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Score final : Stevenage 1–0 Wigan Athletic

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Stevenage (Local)

Prévision 60.31%1.66cote équitable
EV -5.31%
Avantage -3.38%
Kelly -9.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.93%60.38%60.32%62.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.451.541.541.5768.97%65.06%64.94%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Wigan Athletic (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.64%6.39cote équitable
EV +1.67%
Avantage +0.257%
Kelly +0.304%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.37%15.61%15.61%16.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.505.996.006.5018.18%16.70%16.67%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.05%4.16cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.645%
Kelly -0.857%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.01%24.02%24.07%24.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.653.853.834.0527.40%25.94%26.14%24.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Stevenage (Local) : 60.31% ; Wigan Athletic (Visiteur) : 15.64% ; Match nul : 24.05%. Pour Wigan Athletic (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.39. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.50, soit une espérance positive de +1.67%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.67%E +0.257%K +0.304%G +0.005%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.80%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.80%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.80%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.98%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.98%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +0.105%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.39I 15.65%NM 14.80%EV -0.051%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.40%EV -2.85%E -0.707%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.70%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:25
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.70%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:25
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.35%EV -12.55%E -8.65%K -27.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.89%EV -4.59%E -0.752%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.89%EV -4.59%E -0.752%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:25
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:34
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.21%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:35
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:35
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:40
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:35
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.67%EV -6.93%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -2.61%E -0.645%K -0.857%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.72%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -5.02%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:41
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.72%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -5.02%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:40
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:35
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:25
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:34
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.11%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:53
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.11%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:35
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:56
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:55
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.48%EV -11.16%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.12%EV -2.61%E -0.645%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -12.41%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -12.41%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.93%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -12.41%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -12.23%E -3.35%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:40
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.52%E -4.20%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:19
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:20
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.65%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.72%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.17%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%1.8%2026-05-02 13:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.17%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%1.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.75%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.9%2026-05-02 13:55